Friday, Oct. 23 · Week 8 · at Elizabeth, NJ
The line Elizabeth by 6.0Strength Index 76.23 vs 82.24
Somerville 32%68% Elizabeth
Elizabeth wins about 68 times in 100.
What’s on the line
Each team’s biggest open goal, from this week’s run of the season: a playoff spot, then a home playoff game (top 8), then a No. 1 seed (top 2).
SomervillePlaying for a home playoff game · North Group 386 points ride on itWith a win: 86% · with a loss: 0%
ElizabethPlaying for a No. 1 seed · North Group 589 points ride on itWith a win: 89% · with a loss: 0%A home playoff game is safe either way.
The margin
How the final score moves each team’s Strength Index. Elizabeth is expected to win by 6.0, so it gains only by winning by more than that. Somerville gains with any win.
| Final | Somerville | Elizabeth |
|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth by 28 | −4.40 | +4.40 |
| Elizabeth by 14 | −1.60 | +1.60 |
| Elizabeth by 7 | −0.20 | +0.20 |
| Somerville by 7 | +2.60 | −2.60 |
| Somerville by 14 | +4.00 | −4.00 |
Tale of the tape
| Somerville | Elizabeth | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 8-0 |
| 34.5 | Points per game | 40.3 |
| 20.8 | Allowed per game | 14.0 |
| 76.23 · No. 70 in NJ | Strength Index | 82.24 · No. 30 in NJ |
| No. 11 in North Group 3 | Playoff rank | No. 2 in North Group 5 |
| No. 6 seed, at River Dell | If it ended today | No. 1 seed, hosts Bloomfield |
Season so far
Somerville
- Aug 27vs South PlainfieldW40–21
- Sep 4at PiscatawayL14–28
- Sep 10at North HunterdonW54–6
- Sep 18vs Watchung HillsW55–24
- Sep 25at MontgomeryL35–38
- Oct 2vs St. Thomas AquinasW42–26
- Oct 9vs SayrevilleL16–23
- Oct 16at Hunterdon CentralW20–0
Elizabeth
- Aug 28at CarteretW53–6
- Sep 4vs PlainfieldW43–20
- Sep 11vs UnionW19–7
- Sep 18vs St. Joseph-MetuchenW62–35
- Sep 25at RidgeW28–23
- Oct 2vs LindenW39–18
- Oct 9vs HillsboroughW44–0
- Oct 17at WestfieldW34–3
For coaches
Somerville · likely first-round opponent
- Shabazz30%
- Holmdel26%
- West Morris15%
- Old Tappan over Montville+23 home game
- River Dell over Ramsey+15 home game
- Mount Olive over West Morris+7 home game
Elizabeth · likely first-round opponent
- Bloomfield18%
- Union16%
- Livingston16%
- East Orange over Newark Central+34 No. 1 seed
- Sayreville over Piscataway+11 No. 1 seed
- Wayne Valley over Ramapo+9 No. 1 seed
Once the game kicks off, the live score and the reporters’ and schools’ posts take over this page.