St. John Vianney at Rumson-Fair Haven · Oct. 23

Friday, Oct. 23 · Week 8 · at Rumson, NJ

St. John VianneyLancers3-5 · Non-Public B

Fri 7:00 PMat Rumson-Fair Haven

Rumson-Fair HavenBulldogs5-3 · South Group 2

The line Rumson-Fair Haven by 7.8Strength Index 70.88 vs 78.64

St. John Vianney 28%72% Rumson-Fair Haven

Rumson-Fair Haven wins about 72 times in 100.

What’s on the line

Each team’s biggest open goal, from this week’s run of the season: a playoff spot, then a home playoff game (top 8), then a No. 1 seed (top 2).

Rumson-Fair HavenPlaying for a No. 1 seed · South Group 235 points ride on itWith a win: 35% · with a loss: 0%A home playoff game is safe either way.

Non-public seeds come from a committee. Our formula follows its rule: head-to-head first, then common opponents, then Strength Index. Tonight's winner goes above the loser; the margin still moves both teams' Strength Index against everyone else.

St. John Vianney wins by 1–12St. John Vianney moves up to No. 8.

St. John Vianney wins by 13–14St. John Vianney moves up to No. 7.

St. John Vianney wins by 15–18St. John Vianney moves up to No. 6.

St. John Vianney wins by 19–22St. John Vianney moves up to No. 5.

St. John Vianney wins by 23 or moreSt. John Vianney moves up to No. 4.

Rumson-Fair Haven wins by 1–33St. John Vianney stays No. 9.

Rumson-Fair Haven wins by 34 or moreSt. John Vianney drops to No. 10.

If it ended today: St. John Vianney, No. 9 seed, at Holy Spirit. The week’s other results can move this too.

The margin

How the final score moves each team’s Strength Index. Rumson-Fair Haven is expected to win by 7.8, so it gains only by winning by more than that. St. John Vianney gains with any win.

Final	St. John Vianney	Rumson-Fair Haven
Rumson-Fair Haven by 28	−4.05	+4.05
Rumson-Fair Haven by 14	−1.25	+1.25
Rumson-Fair Haven by 7	+0.15	−0.15
St. John Vianney by 7	+2.95	−2.95
St. John Vianney by 14	+4.35	−4.35

Tale of the tape

St. John Vianney		Rumson-Fair Haven
3-5	Record	5-3
19.0	Points per game	30.8
27.3	Allowed per game	29.1
70.88 · No. 98 in NJ	Strength Index	78.64 · No. 52 in NJ
–	Playoff rank	No. 2 in South Group 2
No. 9 seed, at Holy Spirit	If it ended today	No. 1 seed, hosts Overbrook

Common opponent: Donovan Catholic. St. John Vianney lost 45–13 at Donovan Catholic (Sep 4). Rumson-Fair Haven lost 51–13 at Donovan Catholic (Oct 2).

Common opponent: Red Bank Catholic. St. John Vianney lost 44–7 at Red Bank Catholic (Sep 11). Rumson-Fair Haven lost 31–28 at Red Bank Catholic (Oct 9).

Common opponent: Holmdel. St. John Vianney lost 28–14 at Holmdel (Sep 22). Rumson-Fair Haven won 40–28 at Holmdel (Sep 10).

Common opponent: Wall. St. John Vianney won 12–7 against Wall (Sep 25). Rumson-Fair Haven won 35–13 against Wall (Sep 17).

Common opponent: Manalapan. St. John Vianney lost 32–28 at Manalapan (Oct 9). Rumson-Fair Haven won 29–22 against Manalapan (Sep 25).

Season so far

St. John Vianney

Sep 1at Cedar CreekW29–28
Sep 4at Donovan CatholicL13–45
Sep 11at Red Bank CatholicL7–44
Sep 22at HolmdelL14–28
Sep 25vs WallW12–7
Oct 2vs Middletown NorthL6–27
Oct 9at ManalapanL28–32
Oct 16at Brick Twp.W43–7

Rumson-Fair Haven

Aug 27Tottenville (NY)W28–27
Sep 4at Middletown SouthW32–13
Sep 10at HolmdelW40–28
Sep 17vs WallW35–13
Sep 25vs ManalapanW29–22
Oct 2at Donovan CatholicL13–51
Oct 9at Red Bank CatholicL28–31
Oct 16vs Brick MemorialL41–48

For coaches

Rumson-Fair Haven · likely first-round opponent

Also root for this week

Seneca over West Deptford+62 No. 1 seed
Ocean City over Glassboro+46 No. 1 seed
Moorestown over Gloucester City+15 No. 1 seed

Full scouting list on Rumson-Fair Haven’s page →

Once the game kicks off, the live score and the reporters’ and schools’ posts take over this page.