South Group 4 · Public

Colts Neck Cougars

4-43-1 in the D North · Coach Matt Ahearn

Playoff statusChecked Sun 8:30 PM

Long shot

16% to make it

Win: 92%. Loss: under 1%.

Waiting on: vs Monmouth, Sat 11:00 AM.

Last game

Final · Friday, Oct 16vs Freehold BoroW49–7

Next game

Next · Saturday, Oct 24 · 11:00 AM · Homevs Monmouth8-0The lineMonmouth by 13Playoff oddsWin 92% · lose under 1%

If the season ended todayOutNo. 17 of 27 in South Group 4.Playoff spot16%Home gameOutNo. 1 seedOut

If Colts Neck wins outAlmost certainlyBeat Monmouth and Colts Neck makes it 93% of the time. One win alone doesn't lock it.Colts Neck also needs these teams to lose

HamiltonNo. 16 · 4-3Plays Notre Dame on Saturday, Oct 24+45
PrincetonNo. 17 · 3-5Plays at Hopewell Valley on Friday, Oct 23+40
Cedar CreekNo. 20 · 1-7Plays Holy Spirit on Friday, Oct 23+17

93% if they win outOdds as of Sunday, Oct 18, 8:30 PM. +45 means a Hamilton loss adds 45 points to Colts Neck's chance.

Schedule and results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result	The line
0	Aug 27	at Marlboro	L7–28
1	Sep 5	vs Ocean Twp.	L20–36
2	Sep 10	vs Long Branch	W32–0
3	Sep 18	at Asbury Park	W36–6
4	Sep 25	vs Barnegat	L0–16
5	Oct 2	at Toms River South	L6–34
6	Oct 9	at Manchester Twp.	W35–0
7	Oct 16	vs Freehold Boro	W49–7
Still to play · lines as of today
8	Oct 24	vs Monmouth	Sat 11:00 AM	Monmouth by 13

The line is who we favored before kickoff, and by how much.

Wvs Freehold BoroOct 16 · 49–7 ›

Wat Manchester Twp.Oct 9 · 35–0 ›

Lat Toms River SouthOct 2 · 6–34 ›

Lvs BarnegatSep 25 · 0–16 ›

Wat Asbury ParkSep 18 · 36–6 ›

Wvs Long BranchSep 10 · 32–0 ›

Lvs Ocean Twp.Sep 5 · 20–36 ›

Lat MarlboroAug 27 · 7–28 ›

Still to play

vs MonmouthMonmouth by 13Sat 11:00 AM

Lines are today's Strength Index gap and move every week.

The numbers

How the ratings work →

How close we are±0.5Our opponent strength vs the official NJSIAA listWhy? →

Strength Index after each week

Started the season at 51.61 · locks after Week 7

After	SI	Δ
Season start	51.61
Week 0	47.57	down −4.04
Week 1	46.03	down −1.54
Week 2	52.99	up +6.96
Week 3	56.61	up +3.62
Week 4	56.22	down −0.39
Week 5	51.01	down −5.21
Week 6	54.55	up +3.54
Week 7	58.71	up +4.16

What if?

Pick the result against Monmouth. Everything else stays fixed, so other teams’ games will move these numbers too.

If Colts Neck wins by 10NowThenChange

Seed in South Group 41715up 2

Strength Index58.7158.71locked

Power points8.2510.00+1.75

Opponent strength rank21st18thup 3

Power rank (UPR)18.215.6better