Playoff picture
This week's clinch watch 6 This week's clinch watchTeams that clinch a playoff spot with a win this week, or with a win plus one other result. Found by fixing the win and searching this week's other games for the smallest set that proves the spot.Show the work →
- 9BayonneBayonne clinches a playoff spot with a win over Orange.
- 12BloomfieldBloomfield clinches a playoff spot with a win over West Orange.
- 13PassaicPassaic clinches a playoff spot with a win over Passaic County Tech.
- 15LindenLinden clinches a playoff spot with a win over Plainfield.
- 18MontclairMontclair clinches a playoff spot with a win over Livingston.
- 15UnionUnion clinches a playoff spot with a win over Elizabeth and a Passaic County Tech win over Passaic.
Clinched 10 Clinched a playoff spotNo combination of the remaining results can leave the team outside the top 16. "Clinched" is printed only when that is proved; "virtually clinched" means every simulated season and a search for a counterexample agree, but it is not yet proved.Show the work →
- 1Bridgewater-RaritanBridgewater-Raritan has clinched a playoff spot. No remaining scenario eliminates them (worst case: 2nd).
- 2West OrangeWest Orange has clinched a playoff spot. No remaining scenario eliminates them (worst case: 2nd).
- 3PiscatawayPiscataway has clinched a playoff spot. No remaining scenario eliminates them (worst case: 9th).
- 4East Orange CampusEast Orange Campus has clinched a playoff spot. No remaining scenario eliminates them (worst case: 14th).
- 4Passaic County TechPassaic County Tech has clinched a playoff spot. No remaining scenario eliminates them (worst case: 10th).
- 6ElizabethElizabeth has clinched a playoff spot. No remaining scenario eliminates them (worst case: 11th).
- 7LivingstonLivingston has clinched a playoff spot. No remaining scenario eliminates them (worst case: 15th).
- 8Union CityUnion City has clinched a playoff spot. No remaining scenario eliminates them (worst case: 15th).
- 10RidgewoodRidgewood has clinched a playoff spot. No remaining scenario eliminates them (every combination of the 17 remaining games checked).
- 11IrvingtonIrvington has clinched a playoff spot. No remaining scenario eliminates them (every combination of the 17 remaining games checked).
On the bubble 9 Chance of a playoff spotShare of 20,000 simulated finishes to the season in which the team lands in the top 16. Each remaining game is drawn from the Strength Index line, so this is an estimate, never a proof.Show the work →
- 12BloomfieldBloomfield is in the hunt for a playoff spot (99.5%). Can finish anywhere from 6th to 19th.
- 13PassaicPassaic is in the hunt for a playoff spot (93%). Can finish anywhere from 5th to 21st.
- 14MorristownMorristown is in the hunt for a playoff spot (94%). Can finish anywhere from 9th to 21st.
- 15LindenLinden is in the hunt for a playoff spot (99.9%). Can finish anywhere from 6th to 19th.
- 15UnionUnion is in the hunt for a playoff spot (21%). Could still finish as high as 8th, or ineligible with fewer than two wins vs NJSIAA members.
- 17ColumbiaColumbia is in the hunt for a playoff spot (34%). Can finish anywhere from 8th to 21st.
- 18MontclairMontclair is in the hunt for a playoff spot (3%). Could still finish as high as 8th, or ineligible with fewer than two wins vs NJSIAA members.
- 19PlainfieldPlainfield is in the hunt for a playoff spot (56%). Can finish anywhere from 9th to 21st.
- 20Paterson EastsidePaterson Eastside is in the hunt for a playoff spot (<0.1%). Could still finish as high as 14th, or ineligible with fewer than two wins vs NJSIAA members.
Eliminated 3 Eliminated from the playoffsNo combination of the remaining results can put the team in the top 16, or it cannot reach two wins against NJSIAA members. "Virtually eliminated" means no simulated season and no search found a way in, but it is not yet proved.Show the work →
- 22J.P. StevensJ.P. Stevens is eliminated from a playoff spot. No remaining scenario gets them there (best case: 18th).
- 23CliftonClifton is eliminated from a playoff spot. No remaining scenario gets them there (best case: 13th).
- 24Paterson KennedyPaterson Kennedy is eliminated from a playoff spot. No remaining scenario gets them there (best case: 18th).
Still in the hunt 2 Chance of a playoff spotShare of 20,000 simulated finishes to the season in which the team lands in the top 16. Each remaining game is drawn from the Strength Index line, so this is an estimate, never a proof.Show the work →
Seeding 20 Seeding locksUnder the 2026 snake, overall 1–8 are the section seeds 1–4 (a first-round home game) and overall 1–2 are the two #1 seeds. A lock is printed only when every combination of the remaining results keeps the team above that line; "virtually" means simulation or the SI margin cap, not a proof.Show the work →
2025 geographic split: the top 16 split into North 1 and North 2 by Northing, so seeds are ranges and no section is locked from rank. View under 2026 snake seeding.
Locked overall #1 0 Section lockOverall #1's traditional section takes overall 1, 4, 5, 8, 9, 12, 13 and 16; the other section takes the rest. A team's section is locked only when every rank it can still finish at is on one side of the snake and the eventual #1's section is settled. Fans expect geography; the snake does not use it.Show the work →
Nobody has locked overall #1.
Locked #1 seed 2 Section lockOverall #1's traditional section takes overall 1, 4, 5, 8, 9, 12, 13 and 16; the other section takes the rest. A team's section is locked only when every rank it can still finish at is on one side of the snake and the eventual #1's section is settled. Fans expect geography; the snake does not use it.Show the work →
- 1Bridgewater-RaritanBridgewater-Raritan has locked a #1 seed: they cannot finish below overall #2 (1 seed line). Locked into the 1 seed. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
- 2West OrangeWest Orange has locked a #1 seed: they cannot finish below overall #2 (1 seed line). Locked into the 1 seed. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
Locked home game 0 Section lockOverall #1's traditional section takes overall 1, 4, 5, 8, 9, 12, 13 and 16; the other section takes the rest. A team's section is locked only when every rank it can still finish at is on one side of the snake and the eventual #1's section is settled. Fans expect geography; the snake does not use it.Show the work →
Nobody has locked a first-round home game yet.
Locked in, seed open 8 Section-seed rangeThe best and worst section seeds the team can still land on, from its best- and worst-case overall rank through the snake table (1–2 → 1 seed, 3–4 → 2, 5–6 → 3, 7–8 → 4, and so on).Show the work →
- 3PiscatawayPiscataway has locked a playoff spot; the seed is still open. Can finish anywhere from the 2 to the 8 seed. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
- 4East Orange CampusEast Orange Campus has locked a playoff spot; the seed is still open. Can finish anywhere from the 2 to the 8 seed. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
- 4Passaic County TechPassaic County Tech has locked a playoff spot; the seed is still open. Can finish anywhere from the 2 to the 8 seed. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
- 6ElizabethElizabeth has locked a playoff spot; the seed is still open. Can finish anywhere from the 2 to the 8 seed. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
- 7LivingstonLivingston has locked a playoff spot; the seed is still open. Can finish anywhere from the 2 to the 8 seed. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
- 8Union CityUnion City has locked a playoff spot; the seed is still open. Can finish anywhere from the 2 to the 8 seed. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
- 10RidgewoodRidgewood has locked a playoff spot; the seed is still open. Can finish as high as the 2 seed, or miss the field. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
- 11IrvingtonIrvington has locked a playoff spot; the seed is still open. Can finish as high as the 2 seed, or miss the field. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
Bubble 10
- 9BayonneBayonne is in the hunt for a playoff spot (>99.9%). Can finish anywhere from 5th to 19th. Can finish as high as the 2 seed, or miss the field. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
- 12BloomfieldBloomfield is in the hunt for a playoff spot (99.5%). Can finish anywhere from 6th to 19th. Can finish as high as the 2 seed, or miss the field. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
- 13PassaicPassaic is in the hunt for a playoff spot (93%). Can finish anywhere from 5th to 21st. Can finish as high as the 2 seed, or miss the field. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
- 14MorristownMorristown is in the hunt for a playoff spot (94%). Can finish anywhere from 9th to 21st. Can finish as high as the 2 seed, or miss the field. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
- 15LindenLinden is in the hunt for a playoff spot (99.9%). Can finish anywhere from 6th to 19th. Can finish as high as the 2 seed, or miss the field. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
- 15UnionUnion is in the hunt for a playoff spot (21%). Could still finish as high as 8th, or ineligible with fewer than two wins vs NJSIAA members. Can finish as high as the 2 seed, or miss the field. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
- 17ColumbiaColumbia is in the hunt for a playoff spot (34%). Can finish anywhere from 8th to 21st. Can finish as high as the 2 seed, or miss the field. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
- 18MontclairMontclair is in the hunt for a playoff spot (3%). Could still finish as high as 8th, or ineligible with fewer than two wins vs NJSIAA members. Can finish as high as the 2 seed, or miss the field. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
- 19PlainfieldPlainfield is in the hunt for a playoff spot (56%). Can finish anywhere from 9th to 21st. Can finish as high as the 2 seed, or miss the field. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
- 20Paterson EastsidePaterson Eastside is in the hunt for a playoff spot (<0.1%). Could still finish as high as 14th, or ineligible with fewer than two wins vs NJSIAA members. Can finish as high as the 6 seed, or miss the field. Section: North 1 or North 2 (2025 geographic split: set by Northing once the field is known).
Rooting guides 17 This week's rooting guideThe fewest results this week that, with the team's own result, prove the target. Found by fixing the team's win (or any result), adding this week's other games one at a time by how much each lifts the team's worst-case rank until the target is proved, then dropping any game the proof no longer needs. Every listed result must happen; other routes may exist.Show the work →
- 4East Orange CampusEast Orange Campus beat Clifton 41–0path closed
- ✗Root for Montclair over Livingston (Fri, Oct 24) Montclair did not win 39–49
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →East Orange Campus beat Clifton 41–0doneNothing this week can take it away.
- 4Passaic County TechPassaic County Tech beat Passaic 35–7done
That alone did it.
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Passaic County Tech beat Passaic 35–7doneNothing this week can take it away.
- 7LivingstonLivingston beat Montclair 49–39done
- ✓Root for Wayne Valley over Ridgewood (Fri, Oct 24) Wayne Valley won 42–20
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Livingston beat Montclair 49–39doneNothing this week can take it away.
- 8Union CityUnion City beat Columbia 48–0done
That alone did it.
Elimination watchUnion City beat Columbia 48–0did not play out- ✗Ridgewood beats Wayne Valley (Fri, Oct 24) Ridgewood did not win 20–42
- ✓Livingston beats Montclair (Fri, Oct 24) Livingston won 49–39
- ✓East Orange Campus beats Clifton (Fri, Oct 24) East Orange Campus won 41–0
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Union City beat Columbia 48–0doneNothing this week can take it away.
- 9BayonneBayonne beat Orange 41–0done
That alone did it.
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Bayonne beat Orange 41–0doneNothing this week can take it away.
- 10RidgewoodRidgewood lost to Wayne Valley 20–42path closed
- ✗Root for Columbia over Union City (Fri, Oct 24) Columbia did not win 0–48
Elimination watchRidgewood lost to Wayne Valley 20–42happenedThat alone put them out.
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Ridgewood is out of a first-round home game on these results.
- 11IrvingtonElimination watchIrvington lost to Seton Hall Prep 22–38happened
That alone put them out.
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Irvington is out of a first-round home game on these results.
- 12BloomfieldBloomfield lost to West Orange 0–46path closed
The win this needed did not happen.
Bloomfield lost to West Orange 0–46path closed- ✗Root for Linden over Plainfield (Fri, Oct 24) Linden did not win 27–28
- ✓Root for Roxbury over Morristown (Fri, Oct 24) Roxbury won 27–23
- ✓Root for Livingston over Montclair (Fri, Oct 24) Livingston won 49–39
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Bloomfield lost to West Orange 0–46doneNothing this week can take it away.
- 12BloomfieldElimination watchBloomfield lost to West Orange 0–46happened
That alone put them out.
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Bloomfield is out of a first-round home game on these results.
- 13PassaicPassaic lost to Passaic County Tech 7–35path closed
The win this needed did not happen.
Passaic lost to Passaic County Tech 7–35path closed- ✗Root for Linden over Plainfield (Fri, Oct 24) Linden did not win 27–28
- ✓Root for Union City over Columbia (Fri, Oct 24) Union City won 48–0
- ✓Root for Livingston over Montclair (Fri, Oct 24) Livingston won 49–39
Elimination watchPassaic lost to Passaic County Tech 7–35did not play out- ✓Plainfield beats Linden (Fri, Oct 24) Plainfield won 28–27
- ✗Columbia beats Union City (Fri, Oct 24) Columbia did not win 0–48
- ✗Morristown beats Roxbury (Fri, Oct 24) Morristown did not win 23–27
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Passaic lost to Passaic County Tech 7–35doneNothing this week can take it away.
- 13PassaicElimination watchPassaic lost to Passaic County Tech 7–35happened
That alone put them out.
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Passaic is out of a first-round home game on these results.
- 14MorristownMorristown lost to Roxbury 23–27path closed
- ✗Root for Linden over Plainfield (Fri, Oct 24) Linden did not win 27–28
- ✓Root for Livingston over Montclair (Fri, Oct 24) Livingston won 49–39
- ✓Root for Union City over Columbia (Fri, Oct 24) Union City won 48–0
Elimination watchMorristown lost to Roxbury 23–27did not play out- ✓Plainfield beats Linden (Fri, Oct 24) Plainfield won 28–27
- ✗Montclair beats Livingston (Fri, Oct 24) Montclair did not win 39–49
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Morristown lost to Roxbury 23–27doneNothing this week can take it away.
- 15LindenLinden lost to Plainfield 27–28path closed
The win this needed did not happen.
Linden lost to Plainfield 27–28done- ✓Root for Livingston over Montclair (Fri, Oct 24) Livingston won 49–39
- ✓Root for Roxbury over Morristown (Fri, Oct 24) Roxbury won 27–23
- ✓Root for Union City over Columbia (Fri, Oct 24) Union City won 48–0
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Linden lost to Plainfield 27–28doneNothing this week can take it away.
- 15LindenElimination watchLinden lost to Plainfield 27–28happened
That alone put them out.
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Linden is out of a first-round home game on these results.
- 15UnionUnion lost to Elizabeth 23–28path closed
- ✓Root for Passaic County Tech over Passaic (Thu, Oct 23) Passaic County Tech won 35–7
Elimination watchUnion lost to Elizabeth 23–28happenedThat alone put them out.
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Union is eliminated from the playoffs on these results.
- 17ColumbiaColumbia lost to Union City 0–48path closed
- ✓Root for Roxbury over Morristown (Fri, Oct 24) Roxbury won 27–23
- ✓Root for Passaic County Tech over Passaic (Thu, Oct 23) Passaic County Tech won 35–7
Elimination watchColumbia lost to Union City 0–48did not play out- ✓Plainfield beats Linden (Fri, Oct 24) Plainfield won 28–27
- ✗Morristown beats Roxbury (Fri, Oct 24) Morristown did not win 23–27
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Columbia is eliminated from the playoffs on these results.
- 17ColumbiaElimination watchColumbia lost to Union City 0–48happened
That alone put them out.
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Columbia is out of a first-round home game on these results.
- 18MontclairMontclair lost to Livingston 39–49path closed
The win this needed did not happen.
Elimination watchMontclair lost to Livingston 39–49happenedThat alone put them out.
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Montclair is eliminated from the playoffs on these results.
- 18MontclairElimination watchMontclair lost to Livingston 39–49happened
That alone put them out.
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Montclair is out of a first-round home game on these results.
- 19PlainfieldPlainfield beat Linden 28–27done
- ✓Root for Roxbury over Morristown (Fri, Oct 24) Roxbury won 27–23
- ✓Root for Livingston over Montclair (Fri, Oct 24) Livingston won 49–39
- ✓Root for Passaic County Tech over Passaic (Thu, Oct 23) Passaic County Tech won 35–7
Elimination watchPlainfield beat Linden 28–27did not play out- ✗Morristown beats Roxbury (Fri, Oct 24) Morristown did not win 23–27
- ✗Montclair beats Livingston (Fri, Oct 24) Montclair did not win 39–49
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Plainfield beat Linden 28–27doneNothing this week can take it away.
- 20Paterson EastsideElimination watchPaterson Eastside beat Edison 20–18did not play out
The loss this needed did not happen.
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Paterson Eastside is eliminated from the playoffs on these results.
- 21BarringerElimination watchBarringer lost to Hackensack 0–34happened
That alone put them out.
Now, with 17 of this week's results inDecided entriesA check marks a listed game that went the way the guide needed; a cross marks one that did not, which closes that path. Once any of the week's games is final the guide is searched again with those results fixed, so what remains is the fewest results still needed.Show the work →Barringer is eliminated from the playoffs on these results.